My prediction of Trump rejecting the election outcome and inciting violence was accurate
The Trump Insurrection of January 6 was foreseeable. I know that because I saw it coming, as did many others. On October 11, 2020, I predicted that 60 days of chaos would follow the election and made several predictions. Some of them were accurate, perhaps because Trump himself seemed to know he would likely lose the election long before election day. His support for right-wing crazies and violence was also not a state secret.
Challenged election results
Picking up on Trump’s own predictions of election fraud, I suggested challenges were likely:
It is now a near certainty that Republicans will challenge election results even if the Democratic ticket wins in a landslide. . . . Expect challenges to millions of votes cast by mail. Also expect allegations of ballot-box stuffing, stolen ballots, and more. All this is likely to last at least a month and perhaps longer if Trump declines to concede defeat.
Rioting and violence
The assault on the Capitol was less foreseeable. I’m not sure anyone saw it coming in October 2020. The possibility of rioting and violence, however, was a different story. I wrote:
Members of Proud Boys and Boogaloo may not vote themselves but will be out in force if Trump suffers a colossal loss. Riots and looting could be widespread, especially if Trump expresses support or encouragement for it. Protests against election results could get violent if they conflict with anticipated celebrations of Biden’s win.
The demise of the Republican party
I greatly overestimated the degree to which Trump’s progressively bizarre behavior would have on the Republican…